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The Time Manager

  Typhoons are a common occurrence on Guam.


We've been here since 2000, and have survived several small ones and one super-typhoon (that's a Category 5 hurricane). In fact, the eyes of six typhoons had passed over Guam in the ten years before Super-typhoon Pongsona (2002). The islanders are very experienced, the authorities well prepared, and building codes are very strict so injuries from storms are few. The problems, as you'll see, come afterwards.


Guam has unique problems in facing storms, being so far from the mainland and being such a small island. Many of the preparations I've outlined will be unnecessary for you unless you are an islander, but it never hurts to be prepared for anything! No one on Guam should ever be without either an LP gas stove, a camp stove, or an outdoor grill - and the fuel to run them.  We have an outside LP gas stove (with a full oven and broiler), 3 charcoal grills, a gas grill with a burner, and a small propane camp stove.

THINGS YOU NEED TO KNOW ABOUT STORMS AND TYPHOONS:


Typhoons are the same as hurricanes, occurring on the other side of the International Date Line. They are violent storms that begin close to the equator where the water is warm and the earth's spin influences the winds. On Guam, typhoon season is from July through December, but they have occurred at other times of the year. In fact, at least two of the most catastrophic typhoons occurred outside of typhoon season.


TYPHOON TERMINOLOGY:

 

  • TROPICAL CYCLONE - any low-pressure in the tropics that has a rotation, with organized clouds
  • TROPICAL DISTURBANCE - persistent clouds and thunderstorms activity
  • TROPICAL DEPRESSION - a tropical cyclone with sustained winds less than 39 mph
  • TROPICAL STORM - a tropical cyclone with sustained winds of 40-73 mph
  • TYPHOON - tropical cyclone with sustained winds over 74 mph
    • Category 1 (Minimal Typhoon) - sustained winds 74-95 mph with some damage to trees and plants, and a chance of coastal flooding. We call them "Banana typhoons"
    • Category 2 (Moderate Typhoon) - sustained winds 96-110 mph with damage to vegetation and unsecured homes and damage to windows and doors
    • Category 3 (Severe Typhoon) - sustained winds of 111-130 mph with structural damage to wood and tin houses, damage to roof tiles, and coastal flooding
    • Category 4 (Extreme Typhoon) - sustained winds of 131-155 mph with damage from flying objects, flooding in many areas; unsecured roofs may lift
    • Category 5 (Catastrophic Typhoon) - sustained winds over 155 mph with building damage, structural failures, complete roof failure for unsecured roofs, and household flooding
  • SUPER-TYPHOON - a term for a tropical cyclone with sustained winds of 150 mph or higher
  • EYE - the center of a tropical storm with the lowest atmospheric pressure is recorded, the sky is clear and the winds are calm
  • EYE WALL - towering clouds around the eye of the storm where the highest wind speeds and heaviest rain occurs
  • TYPHOON ALLEY - Guam is located in Micronesia, a sector of the Pacific ocean known as "typhoon alley," which is defined by a concentration of typhoon tracks along the axis of the monsoon trough which prevails for most of the summer and fall.  It is a term not taken lightly by the citizens of Guam. Although the last two years have been relatively quiet, there is an average of 31 tropical storms in the western north Pacific every year with one or more affecting the island. Guam has been impacted by about 21 typhoons since 1970 and devastated by five since 1960.




In December 2002, Guam was hit by Super-Typhoon Pongsona (pronounced Bong-Son-Wa'), which means "pretty little lotus flower" in Korean and it certainly was NOT that! The damage we expected from a major storm -- downed power lines, no power/water for weeks, and storm debris, was nothing compared to this typhoon: a large gasoline storage tank was set ablaze by the winds and the tank burned for days afterwards. As a result, there was no gasoline for cars or generators, and most stores lost their refrigerated and frozen foods. Also, the island's only ice producer was destroyed, so there was no ice for coolers. The Governor ordered the gas stations not to sell gas to civilians and demanded that everyone stay home.  That made it very difficult to travel to collect water or food, so we were left to what we had on hand (which, in our case, was very dirty rain water collected in a trash can), for over 5 days.

Preliminary damage figures for the island were around  $700 million. Pongsona was the third strongest typhoon in history to strike Guam, and was among the five costliest. The 40 mile wide eye passed over the northern half of the island exposing the most populated areas to the eyewall with typhoon-force winds for up to five hours. Up to 26 inches of rain was reported. There were 3 fatalities that couldn't be classified as direct or indirect, over 200 injuries, and 2,000 people left homeless. Considering the population was around 170,000 at the time, and that every inch of the island was battered by the storm for hours, it's pretty amazing that only 1% of us were uprooted! It's because here on Guam, as in most of the Pacific Islands, we don't expect the government to take care of us - we take responsibility for our own safety and survival.



Often the weather service gives a typhoon's distance from Guam in nautical miles. While we all know the difference, a chart is helpful if you are trying to determine the onset of winds. Here is a small chart to help:
Nautical Miles (knots) Miles (mph) If you want to track a typhoon (I'm not sure whether I do it because it's fun or because I'm obsessive), there is a storm tracking map in the phone book - you write down the latitude (across) and longitude (up & down) coordinates of the storm as they are read on the weather reports. Then mark a dot on the map for each new coordinate. Don't depend on the storm following a straight line, though - they are usually very unpredictable and can change course many times.

Remember that, although a storm's center is still several hours out, the damaging winds can occur well before the eye hits you. Depending on the storm's size and strength, this could be very dangerous for you and your home. Once Condition 1 (COR 1) is declared, you should not go outside.  In Super-Typhoon Pongsona,the winds kicked up and we lost power and water several hours before the storm actually hit. We know better now, but had not put the electric storm shutters down because we figured it would take only 5 minutes. Instead, they had to be put down manually which takes considerably longer.
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About Storm Warning Systems

When we first arrived on Guam, the government followed the National Weather Service storm warning system. That included Tropical Storm watches and warnings, and Typhoon watches and warnings. The preparation for each was different: obviously, a tropical storm is not going to be as dangerous as a typhoon. Now,  GovGuam has adopted a "Conditions of Readiness" system (I believe this may be the same that the military uses), in which the conditions of readiness are the same for tropical storms and typhoons. I find this system much more difficult to follow, so I have made separate checklists for each. Now, obviously, there is a chance that the tropical storm that is 6 hours away may become a typhoon before it hits - but most likely will not be a catastrophic typhoon. If that happens, we just pull out the typhoon checklist and do what we can.

TYPHOON CONDITIONS OF READINESS (COR):

COR 4 (ALWAYS)
- winds of 75 MPH or higher are possible within 72 hours
COR 3 (WATCH) - winds of 75 MPH or higher are possible within 48 hours
COR 2 (WARNING)- damaging winds of 75 MPH or higher are expected within 24 hours
COR 1 (TIME'S UP) - damaging winds of 75 MPH or higher are expected within 12 hours



TROPICAL STORM

Tropical storms are less dangerous than typhoons, although the preparation for one is very similar. Even with winds up to 50 miles per hour, there is a strong possibility of power outages, downed trees, flying debris (such as your neighbor's tin roof), flooding and loss of water supply. We have tropical storms every year (sometimes several) - in fact, many of the typhoons we have prepared for have only hit us with tropical storm winds.

TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS OF READINESS (COR):

COR 4 (ALWAYS) - winds of 39-74 MPH are possible within 72 hours
COR 3 (WATCH) - winds of 39-74 MPH are possible within 48 hours
COR 2 (WARNING) - damaging winds of 39-74 MPH are expected within 24 hours
COR 1 (TIME'S UP!) - damaging winds of 39-74 MPH are expected within 12 hours

Coming Soon: Tropical storm checklists.



Typhoon Pongsona Dec 2000 DISCLAIMER: I am not a weather specialist, and have no experience in weather forecasting (except my right hip, which is one of the best forecasters I know of!). These lists and guidelines are my personal compilations, and are in no way endorsed by the Government of Guam or the National Weather Service.




---- Remember, in many emergencies, your computer will be inaccessible, so a hard copy of any Paradise Organized chapters you find especially helpful is a good thing to have on hand! ----




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